But El Nino conditions are difficult to predict, though in recent years meteorologists learned how to identify the conditions for an El Nino earlier than ever.
History of El Ninos (Meteora.ucsd.edu)
Though California’s water supplies were replenished during the last winter, we still need more water to refill the vast underground aquifers . The much-anticipated question is whether the winter 2018/2019 will produce an El Nino that is strong enough to do so.
Meteorologists from NOAA officially declared 2019 an El Nino year. Just how strong remains to be seen.
El Nino is associated generally with weather that is wetter than average in the southwest. The annual jet stream stays farther south and brings mudslides, floods, and coastal erosion to the southwest while the rest of the south is drier than normal.
At this time in February 2019, meteorologists put the chances at about 70 percent in 2018/2019 of the jet stream to drop into California. They also consider the chances of the El Nino 2019 to stay with us until April 2019 at about 60 percent.
Researchers estimate the likelihood of fully-fledged El Niño event between December 2018 and February 2019 at 75-80%, with a 60% chance of it continuing to April 2019. Generally speaking, in El Nino years the jet stream stays farther north across the United States from West to East. Severe weather is, therefore, found farther north than usual.
El Nino flooding in California (ggweather.com)
What does an El Nino 2019 mean for fishing, hunting, and specifically, boar hunting? While wet and warm El Nino weather is good for hunting, it does not necessarily have only beneficial aspects for fishing.
We need more water for our water reservoirs and aquifers. That means we need more snow, not diluvian downpours of destructive rain that have nowhere to go but into the ocean. If we get it, boar habitats will recover from the drought. As a result of more food sources and better habitat, female boar will produce more offspring. More boar, more plentiful wild pig hunting in California.
On the other hand, El Nino conditions also mean warmer ocean water. That results in turn in a heavier algae bloom. That’s bad for fishing and, in extreme cases, creates dangerous conditions in marine invertebrates. In the worst case scenario, fishing and trapping may have to be restricted to avoid life-threatening situations from the consumption of domoic acid.
For details read this article and google our website for “domoic acid” to get the truth and nothing but the domoic acid truth.
Overall, El Nino is good news for boar hunters and hunting in general though the wild pigs will have to move some of their home ranges because of the intensive wildfire damage. But boar are very adaptive and resilient. They will adjust their ranges to make the best out of recovering environments and habitats.
Hunters need not worry about the future of boar populations and of hunting wild pigs in California. They have little to fear from El Nino 2019 but a lot from overzealous government officials who are contemplating wholesale eradication of the species.
Fishing is another story. However, it is a mixed bag for fishermen. They have to worry about high, poisonous algae levels in sea life that makes consumption of seafood hazardous to humans.
But lets ‘cry wolf’ when we know that an El Nino has developed and how strong it is.
In the meantime, have a look at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/predicting-el-ni%C3%B1o-then-and-now. It has much information on El Nino and related weather patterns.